Market sees inflation surpass 6% this year and greater monetary tightening in 2022

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The weekly survey released on Monday pointed out that the expectation for the IPCA increase this year reached 6.07%, from 5.97% in the previous week

The market projection for the inflation this year it surpassed the 6% mark and the experts consulted in the Focus Bulletin do central bank began to see greater monetary tightening in 2022.

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The weekly survey released on Monday pointed out that the expectation for the increase of the IPCA this year reached 6.07%, from 5.97% in the previous week, far surpassing the official target ceiling –3.75% with tolerance margin of 1.5 percentage point plus or minus.

For 2022, the calculation for inflation had a slight downward adjustment of 0.01 percentage point, to 3.77%, against a target of 3.50%, also with a margin of 1.5 point.

With inflation high, economists have come to see the benchmark interest rate at 6.75% next year, from 6.50% expected earlier. For this year, the Selic scenario remained at 6.50%.

In relation to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), there was an improvement in the estimated growth for this year, with the expansion calculated at 5.18%, against 5.05%. For next year there was also an adjustment of 0.01 percentage point downwards, to an expected growth of 2.10%.

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palheta smll Market sees inflation surpass 6% this year and greater monetary tightening in 2022

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