According to the figures of the task force for vaccination against covid-19, on May 23, about 97% of people aged 60 or over already had some immunity, that is, 90% are already vaccinated with at least one dose and 7% recovered from infection previous.
Bearing in mind that 96% of deaths attributed to covid occurred among the population over 60 years of age and that it was, until vaccination began to have an impact, the one that weighed most in hospitalizations. Having this population immunized was the essential condition to be able to begin to deal with and manage the pandemic in another way.
At a time when vaccine delivery is intensifying, the task force manages to accelerate the plan, and the self-scheduling from 50 years old.
If everything goes as planned, in the week of June 6 the vaccination will begin for the age group of 40 to 49 years old and in the week of June 20 the group of 30 to 39 years old, and then all will run in parallel.
The decision was taken as a way of simplify and accelerate the process, recalls Expresso, and is still justified because the risk of becoming ill with covid-19 in these different age groups is very similar.
Regarding the situation, the data of the task forcand indicate that half of the population over 30 years old already took at least one dose of the vaccine. If all people over 20 are considered, this percentage is 43%, with an over-representation of older groups.
The team commanded by the vice admiral Henrique Gouveia e Melo it also underlines the fact that in the age group of people aged 80 or over, “about 90%” already have the complete vaccination schedule.
With the average daily vaccination rate of 80 thousand doses, exceeding in some days the 100 thousand inoculations, Gouveia e Melo believes that, on August 8, 70% of the population will have at least one dose.
Vaccination spared lives
According to Público, in about five months, vaccination will have prevented 730 deaths and about 27,000 new cases of covid, in addition to the impact it also had on reducing hospitalizations.
Although there have been slight increases in new cases recorded in the past few days, this has not, so far, translated into greater pressure in hospitals.
There is also an estimated impact in relation to hospitalizations. The translation in number of patients is more difficult to achieve in cumulative terms because it takes into account the average number of days of hospitalization, which varies among patients, but the model allowed us to estimate that in these five months it would have been possible to reduce the equivalent 17,700 days of hospital stay in the infirmary and 3100 days in intensive care units (ICU).
João Ribeiro, director of the intensive care service at Hospital de Santa Maria, told Público that “a very significant reduction in pressure on hospitals, which has a clear impact on intensive care medicine”, but points out that the low numbers suggest “some caution in the form how conclusions are drawn because we may be witnessing something that is the result of chance ”.
Even so, says the doctor, “the profile of patients admitted at this time suggests that the age group is a little lower – we have inpatients aged 30, 40, 50 years, but the numbers are very few – with an absent vaccination history”.